The future of work in 29 powerful charts

Below are 29 powerful charts that I saw over 2014. I think these hold the keys to what we’re going to see the work look like over the next 10-15 years. There’s some genuinely fascinating stuff here that’s been dug out from a range of sources (some common, some less so). I hope you find these as interesting and powerful as I do. All the sources are linked, in the case you’re looking for some deeper beach reading.

I’d also like to wish everyone on the Management Disrupted mailing list a Merry Christmas! I look forward to continuing the conversation in 2015.
-Steve

1. The environment is getting significantly more complex

BCG complexity index

Source: BCG

2. Organisational complexity: We’re just getting started

Complexity 2

Source: EIU

3. Where are the biggest complexity issues?

Net future increase in complexity

Source: KPMG

4. Where is the complexity coming from?

The causes of complexity

Source: KPMG

5. Organisational complexity: Yes, things are getting faster

Consumption spreads faster

Source: New York Times

6. Organisational complexity: Yes, things are getting faster

Technology adoption rates

Source: MIT Technology Review

7. The “new normal” is being driven by technology, not just economics

Technological uncertainty

Source: HBR

8. How are companies dealing with complexity? With more complexity! (CEO span of control)

Functional managers

Source: Harvard Business School

9. How are companies dealing with complexity? With more complexity! (Management as a percentage of all employment)

Managers

Source: Allied Social Science Associations

10. Management evolution: The decline of the COO

COO prevalence

Source: CFO Magazine

11. Organisational structures grow to match the source of value creation: See the rise of the CFO

Prevalence of the CFO

Source: American Sociological Review

12. Value creation today is all about the people: Intangible assets now represent c.85% of the balance sheet

The source of corporate value creation

Source: Deloitte University Press

13. Hype versus reality: Where is the real technological disruption coming from?

Hype Cycle 2014

Source: Gartner

14. Hype vs reality: The automation of knowledge work is perhaps the biggest trend you’re not hearing about

Hype vs economics

Source: McKinsey Global Institute

15. The economic impact of technological disruption

Potential economic impact

Source: McKinsey Global Institute

16. Technological disruption is just getting started: Technology and job losses

Computerisation

Source: EIU

17. The automation of the worker is very real

Automation is real

Source: McKinsey Global Institute

18. The rise and rise of knowledge work

Growth of knowledge work

Source: The Work Foundation

19. The rise and rise of knowledge work: There is still significant services growth to come

Employment in services

Source: EIU

20. The rise and rise of knowledge work: It’s not as easy to standardise returns in knowledge work

Performance variability

Source: McKinsey Global Institute

21. At the intersection of complexity and the rise of knowledge work, we see companies have a shorter lifespan than ever before

Competitveness over time

Source: McKinsey

22A. The changing organisation: Technological disruption and complexity means bigger organisations with less employees

Companies - Past

 

Source: Company releases (mid 2014)

22B. The changing organisation: Technological disruption and complexity means bigger organisations with less employees

Companies - Present

 

Source: Company releases (mid 2014)

22c. The changing organisation: Technological disruption and complexity means bigger organisations with less employees

Companies - Future

Source: Company releases (mid 2014)

23. Organisational complexity: The status quo isn’t sustainable

Complexity

Source: EIU

24. Organisational complexity: How are organisations responding?

Complexity 4

Source: EIU

25. Great design is no longer optional (and is a response to shortcut complexity)

Design thinking

Source: Google Trends

26. In the face of complexity, we seek familiarity

Regular employee credibility

Source: Edelman

27. Leadership authenticity is the only choice (There’s no time to craft credible narratives)

The social CEO

Source: Weber Shadwick

28. Surprising workforce data: Employee tenure is actually rising

Tenure

Source: EBRI

29. Surprising workforce data: Departing CEO age and tenure is largely unchanged

CEO age and tenure

Source: The Conference Board